Day: April 26, 2018

Heuristics are generally identified as “rules of thumb” that we use when making decisions. We evaluate information we already know, events we’ve already experienced, and actions we’ve already taken, to help us make quick and efficient decisions. In the heuristic process we make assumptions based on what we know, what we’ve done and what we’ve experienced (thus “rules of thumb”).

From your readings in the text this past week we’ve learned there are three types of heuristics; the representativeness heuristic, the availability heuristic and the anchoring & adjustment heuristic. Which of the three heuristic types is the most commonly used?

Post an answer to the following questions:

Based on what you’ve read and researched; in your opinion, which one of the three heuristic types do you believe is the most commonly used?

What information, facts, or data, did you use in coming to your conclusion (why did you select the heuristic you chose?)

Provide at least one, preferably two examples to support your conclusion?

I need your help answering the following 4 questions using the food intake below the questions:

a. How did your recorded protein intake compare with the recommendation of the CNPP? ( 150 words)
b. If your recorded protein intake was too high or too low, which foods might you change to achieve your goal and keep other nutrients in balance?( 150 words)

c. Which foods in your recorded one day intake provide protein?( 150 words)

d. Are the proteins in each of these foods complete,or are they incomplete, thus requiring combining to become complementary proteins?( 150 words)

THIS IS THE FOOD INTAKE

Foods Consumed Select Serving Size Number of
Servings
(Enter a number
(e.g. 1.5))
AMERICAN/CHEDDAR CHEESE, PROCESSED <Please select a serving size> 1 cup 1 cup diced 1 cup, melted 1 cup shredded 1 cubic inch 1 kiss 1 slice (.75 oz) 1 slice (1 oz) Don`t Know
BREAD, WHEAT OR CRACKED WHEAT, TOASTED <Please select a serving size> 1 large or thick slice 1 regular slice 1 regular slice, crust not eaten 1 thin slice 1 thin slice, crust not eaten Don`t Know
EGG BEATERS <Please select a serving size> 1 cup, cooked (1/4 cup raw, equivalent to 1 large egg, makes 1/3 cup cooked) 1 carton (8 fl oz) yields Don`t Know
HEALTHY CHOICE MINESTRONE SOUP <Please select a serving size> 1 Campbell`s can (16 oz) 1 Healthy Choice can (15 oz) 1 Progresso can (16 oz) Don`t Know
LETTUCE, RAW <Please select a serving size> 1 cup shredded or chopped 1 oz 1 large head 1 large leaf 1 medium head (6 dia) 1 medium leaf 1 small head 1 small leaf Don`t Know
ORANGE JUICE <Please select a serving size> 1 cup 1 fl oz Don`t Know
PASTRAMI SANDWICH <Please select a serving size> 1 sandwich Don`t Know
POPSICLE <Please select a serving size> 1 Kool Pop 1 double stick 1 single stick 1 Fla-Vor-Ice Don`t Know
PROMISE, MARGARINE-LIKE SPREAD, TUB <Please select a serving size> 1 tablespoon Don`t Know
ROOT BEER <Please select a serving size> 1 fl oz 1 can or bottle (16 fl oz) 1 can (12 fl oz) 1 child/senior drink (12 fl oz) 1 small drink (16 fl oz) 1 medium drink (22 fl oz) 1 large drink (32 fl oz) 1 extra large drink (44 fl oz) Don`t Know
VINEGAR, SUGAR & WATER DRESSING <Please select a serving size> 1 cup 1 tablespoon Don`t Know
WEIGHT WATCHERS SWEET & SOUR CHICKEN (FROZEN MEAL) <Please select a serving size> 1 meal (9 oz)

Print Food Record

Nutrient Intakes For djm0922 on 10/25/2007
A nutrient recommendation is a target or goal for intake of a nutrient. Your requirement for a particular nutrient is unique to you, but it is likely to be lower than the recommended number. If your intake is at or above this number, then it is probably adequate. If your intake is below this number, that does not necessarily mean an inadequate intake. If today’s intake is typically what you eat, and your intake for a nutrient is at or above the recommendation, it is likely that your intake of that nutrient is adequate. To better assess your usual nutrient intake, you should report foods eaten for two or more days and review your nutrient intake over time. Click here if you want to see your nutrient profile with technical assessment information.

Nutrient Your Intake Recommendation or
Acceptable Range
Food Energy/Total Calories (kcals) 1240 2805
Protein (gm) 48 46
Carbohydrate (gm) 171 130
Total Fiber (gm) 13 25
Total Fat (gm) 43 27.5 – 48.2
Saturated Fat (gm) 11.2 < 13.8
Monounsaturated Fat (gm) 15 **
Polyunsaturated Fat (gm) 12 **
Linoleic (omega 6) (gm) 11.2 12
Alpha Linolenic (omega 3) (gm) 1 1.1
Cholesterol (mg) 101 < 300
Vitamin A (mcg RAE) 500.4 700
Vitamin C (mg) 154.9 75
Vitamin E (mg a-TE) 5.7 15
Thiamin (mg) 0.9 1.1
Riboflavin (mg) 1 1.1
Niacin (mg) 14.1 14
Folate (mcg, DFE) 322.3 400
Vitamin B6 (mg) 1 1.3
Vitamin B12 (mcg) 1.5 2.4
Calcium (mg) 358.4 1000
Phosphorus (mg) 550.1 700
Magnesium (mg) 157 320
Iron (mg) 9.3 18
Zinc (mg) 6.5 8
Selenium (mcg) 67.8 55
Potassium (mg) 1976 4700
Sodium (mg) 3732 1500 – 2300

** Nutrient has no established recommendation.

Back MyPyramid Recommendation HEI Score Calculate Nutrient History

Comparison of Your Intake with
MyPyramid Recommendations for djm0922

Your Pyramid Stats
Milk Intake 0.3 cup equivalent
Milk Recommendation 3 cup equivalent

Meat and Beans Intake 4.9 oz equivalent
Meat and Beans Recommendation 7 oz equivalent

Vegetables Intake 2.9 cup equivalent
Vegetables Recommendation 3.5 cup equivalent

Fruits Intake 1.1 cup equivalent
Fruits Recommendation 2.5 cup equivalent

Grains Intake 3.8 oz equivalent
Grains Recommendation 10 oz equivalent

____________________________________________________________

Pyramid Categories Percent Recommendation
Milk 10%
Meat and Beans 70%
Vegetables 83%
Fruits 44%
Grains 38%

Back
Nutrient Intakes
HEI Score
Calculate Histor

10. The following hypotheses are given.
H0: Pi equals 0.40
H1: Pi does not equal 0.40
A sample of 120 observations revealed that p = 0.30. At the .05 significance level, can the
null hypothesis be rejected?
a. State the decision rule.
b. Compute the value of the test statistic.
c. What is your decision regarding the null hypothesis?

Use the five-step hypothesis-testing procedure in solving the following problem:

19. A spark plug manufacturer claimed that its plugs have a mean life in excess of 22,100 miles. Assume the life of the spark plugs follows the normal distribution. A fleet owner purchased a large number of sets. A sample of 18 sets revealed that the mean life was 23,400 miles and the standard deviation was 1,500 miles. Is there enough evidence to substantiate the manufacturer’s claim at the .05 significance level?

13. The null and alternate hypotheses are:
H0: u1 = u2
H1: u1 does not equal u2
A random sample of 10 observations from one population revealed a sample mean of 23
and a sample deviation of 4. A random sample of 8 observations from another population
revealed a sample mean of 26 and a sample standard deviation of 5. At the .05 significance level, is there a difference between the population means?

13. A senior accounting major at Midsouth State University has job offers from four CPA firms. To explore the offers further, she asked a sample of recent trainees how many months each worked for the firm before receiving a raise in salary. The sample information is submitted to MINITAB with the following results:
Analysis of Variance
Source D F SS MS F P
Factor 3 32.33 10.78 2.36 0.133
Error 10 45.67 4.57
Total 13 78.00
At the .05 level of significance, is there a difference in the mean number of months before a raise was granted among the four CPA firms?

THis only has to be about 2 paragraphs in a Microsoft Word document. This weeks discussion for my Organizational Research class is:

1.What do you think about small sample sizes?

2.What are the advantages? and Disadvantages?

3.What about Qualitative vs Quantitative designs?

The teachers provided us with this Abstract: You can apply comments with what she provided us, and you can also discuss the 3 question on ones own. Thank you so much for your help and time.

This work employs a phenomenological approach to investigate how people experience the radical transformation of their work lives caused by reengineering (BPR) processes. The common essences of the experiences of three co-researchers are synthesized into a composite textural-structural description of the reengineering phenomenon. The analysis of the rich, multidimensional information offered by participants reveals that reengineering projects elicit complex experiences involving a multitude of horizons. In particular, the analysis suggests that, by taking the discourse of efficiency to extremes, reengineering ends up by unveiling the conflicts inherent in the arrangements that generally characterize workplace. This proposition goes beyond the traditional belief that the basic reason for resistance in BPR projects is the fear of layoffs or the modification of power arrangements. Indeed, such factors seem to be part of the problem. It is also necessary to understand the imp! ortant role of the crisis that reengineering may generate in individuals’ ongoing process of sense making.

In March 2004, with the U.S presidential compaign heating up, President Bush’s White House team made what would seem to be a questionalbe hiring decision. It’s not clear how much screening they did, or who did it, but almost as soon as the White House recommended Nebraska business executive Tony Raimondo to be the administration’s assistant commerce secretary for manufacturing (“manufacturing czar”), Mr. Raimondo had to withdraw his name from consideration.

The candidate withdrew his name after blistering critisim from Democratic nominee John Kerry, Among other things, the president’s manufacturing czar was supposed to develop strategies for beefing up U.S manufacturing capacity and creating more manufactring jobs in the U.S, but it turned out that Mr. Raimondo ran Nebraska’s manufacturing business that had set up plants in China, and outsourced a portion of his company’s jobs there. Senator Kerry said Mr. Raimondo therfore hardly seemed like the ideal person to champion keeping jobs in the United States.

1. What should this position’s job description look like?
2. What are the ideal job specifications for the person in tis position?
3. How should we have gone about recruiting and screening for this position? What selection tools, specifically, would you use?
4. Where do you think we went wrong?

Question 1:

Suppose we discover definitive evidence for microbial life on Mars or Europa. Would the discovery alter your view of our place in the universe? If so, how? What if we made contact with an intelligent species from another world? Do you think it is likely that either kind of life exists elsewhere in the universe? Do you think that either kind will be discovered in your lifetime? Explain. (100 words)

Question 2:
If you had the chance to communicate with an extraterrestrial, what would you like to ask him (or her, or it)? What do you think the answer might be?(100 words)

Question 3:
If we do contact another civilization, how much should we tell them about us? Is it a risk to discuss our weaknesses? Do you think they are likely to try to attack? If so, why? Science fiction stories have suggested many possibilities, from using us as food, to enslavement, or possible alliances against their enemies. Pick one or more possibility (not necessarily one of these), and discuss it.(100 words)

Question 4:
In Star Trek, Dr. McCoy often told Captain Kirk that something was “Life, but not as we know it.”

Describe some kind of life that is not life as we know it. Explain how it gets energy, what it does, where it lives and how it reproduces. You may use an example from a book or movie, but an original idea would be better.(100 words)

Given the premises, discuss whether the conclusion of each argument that follows is (a) true beyond a reasonable doubt, (b) probably true, or (c) possibly true or possibly false. You should expect disagreement on these items, but the closer your answers are to your instructor’s, the better.

2. The annual rainfall in California’s north valley averages twenty-three inches. So the rainfall next year will be twenty-three inches.

3. You expect to get forty miles to the gallon in that? Why, that old wreck has a monster V8; besides, it’s fifty years old and needs an overhaul.

4. In three of the last four presidential races, the winner of the Iowa Republican primary has not captured the Republican nomination. Therefore, the winner of the next Iowa Republican primary will not capture the Republican nomination.

6. The number of cellular telephones has increased dramatically in each of the past few years. Therefore there will be even more of them in use this coming year.

7. Since the graduates of Harvard, Yale, Princeton, and other Ivy League schools generally score higher on the Graduate Record Examination than students from Central State, it follows that the Ivy League schools do more toward educating their students than Central State does.

8. Michael Jackson has had more plastic surgery than anybody else in California. You can bet he’s had more than anybody in Connecticut!

10. When liquor was banned in 1920, hospitalizations for alcoholism and related diseases plummeted; in 1933, when Prohibition was repealed, alcohol-related illnesses rose sharply again. Legalization of cocaine, heroin, and marijuana would not curb abuse of those substances.

11. Relax. The kid’s been delivering the paper for, how long? Three, four years maybe? And not once has she missed us. The paper will be here, just wait and see. She’s just been delayed for some reason.

Use POM-QM for Windows to solve the following problems. The problems are taken from the textbook: Operations Management: Quality and Competitiveness in a Global Environment (5th edition) by Roberta S. Russell and Bernard W. Taylor III.

Problem #11-1 (Page 516)
The Harley Davis motorcycle dealer in the Minneapolis-St. Paul area wants to be able to forecast accurately the demand for the Roadhog Super motorcycle during the next month. From sales records, the dealer has accumulated the data in the table below for the past year:

Month Motorcycle Sales
January 9
Febryary 7
March 10
April 8
May 7
June 12
July 10
August 11
September 12
October 10
November 14
December 16

a. Compute a three-month moving average forecast of demand for April through January (of the next year).

b. Compute a five-month moving average forecast for June through January.

c. Compare the two forecasts computed in parts (a) and (b) using mead absolute deviation (MAD). Which one should the dealer use for January of the next year?

Problem #11-24 (Page 519)
Develop an exponential smoothing forecast with a = 0.20 for the demand in Problem #1. Compare this forecast with the three-month moving average computed in Problem #1 (a) using mead absolute deviation (MAD) and indicate which forecast seems to be most accurate.

Note: The “a = 0.20 – the “a” here is a symbol that I can’t find on the computer to make it correctly. It looks like the Greek letter “a”.

Please show how to solve the problems step-by-step.

The purpose of this assignment is to paraphrase O’Conner’s passages using no more than 75-100 words. Begin the assignment with the words: O’Conner (2003) argued that . . .

1) Read the following paragraphs, which were written by Patricia O’Conner.
A good writer is one you can read without breaking a sweat. If you want a workout, you don’t lift a book?you lift weights. Yet we’re brainwashed to believe that the more brilliant the writer, the tougher the going.

The truth is that the reader is always right. Chances are, if something you’re reading doesn’t make sense, it’s not your fault?it’s the writer’s. And if something you write doesn’t get your point across, it’s probably not the reader’s fault?it’s yours. Too many readers are intimidated and humbled by what they can’t understand, and in some cases that’s precisely the effect the writer is after. But confusion is not complexity; it’s just confusion. A venerable tradition, dating back to the ancient Greek orators, teaches that if you don’t know what you’re talking about, just ratchet up the level of difficulty and no one will ever know.

Don’t confuse simplicity, though, with simplemindedness. A good writer can express an extremely complicated idea clearly and make the job look effortless. But such simplicity is a difficult thing to achieve because to be clear in your writing you have to be clear in your thinking. This is why the simplest and clearest writing has the greatest power to delight, surprise, inform, and move the reader. You can’t have this kind of shared understanding if writer and reader are in an adversary relationship. (pp. 195-196)

Source: O’Conner, P. (2003). Woe is I: The grammarphobe’s guide to better English in plain English. New York: Riverhead Books.

You are vice president of public relations for one of the nation’s largest retailers. You are awoken at 3 a.m. by a call on your nightstand telephone from a New York Times reporter wanting a statement from you about the retailer’s president and CEO, who has just been found dead by the police of a self-inflicted gunshot wound. He apparently killed himself after fatally shooting his wife. The reporter wants to know if it is true that the CEO committed suicide because he was involved with insider trading and if it is true that he would have been fired along with the CFO that very day during a scheduled meeting of the board of directors. Just as you are about to say something, your cell phone rings and you realize that it is the retailer’s chairman calling.
What do you do? Explain what you think the rest of your day will be like, and what are the three things you must do for your company before the day is over. Oh, I forgot to mention that your spouse is out of town, and you need to get your teenaged daughter and your 11-year-old son to their respective schools, plus you have a toothache and have been delaying seeing the dentist. Now it really hurts.